Sevilla vs Osasuna Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds

Sevilla 6th · 14 pts · GD −2

22:00 Mon 26 Oct 2026 Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium, Sevilla LaLiga 2026/27

Osasuna 12th · 11 pts · GD −8

Our Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction covers a LaLiga 2026/27 meeting on Monday, 26 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 SAST. Sevilla host Osasuna at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium, Sevilla, sitting sixth on 14 points. Meanwhile, Osasuna arrive in 12th place on 11 points. Both sides last played on 18 October 2026, when Sevilla lost 4-1 away at Real Madrid and Osasuna won 2-0 at home to Racing Santander.

The market makes Sevilla clear favourites, with a margin-free implied 49.7% for a home win. However, our model gives the hosts only 40.7%. As a result, we turn to the Asian handicap and side with Osasuna +0.5. That selection covers an Osasuna win or a draw, and our model rates it at 59.3%.

More reading: more betting tips and our ZARbet review.

Sevilla form

Sevilla have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last five league games. They opened the run by winning 1-0 at home to Valencia on 11 September 2026. Then they won 1-0 away at Deportivo on 16 September 2026. However, Sevilla lost 3-1 at home to Barcelona on 19 September 2026. Next came a 3-3 draw away at Levante on 12 October 2026, before they lost 4-1 away at Real Madrid on 18 October 2026.

Sevilla scored 7 goals but conceded 10 in those five league games, so the defence has been leaky lately. Also, the 3-1, 3-3 and 4-1 results all came after the two 1-0 wins, which gives Osasuna some encouragement.

Osasuna form

Osasuna have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last five league games. They lost 2-0 at home to Espanyol on 12 September 2026, then lost 4-0 away at Atlético Madrid on 16 September 2026. Next, they drew 1-1 at home to Rayo Vallecano on 19 September 2026. After that, Osasuna lost 5-2 away at Real Betis on 11 October 2026.

The run did end on a brighter note, because Osasuna won 2-0 at home to Racing Santander on 18 October 2026. Still, they scored 5 goals and conceded 12 in those five league games. Therefore, Sevilla will expect chances, since Osasuna lost 4-0 away at Atlético Madrid and 5-2 away at Real Betis.

Sevilla vs Osasuna stats analysis

Over the last five league games, Sevilla edge the shooting numbers with 4.6 shots on target per game against 4.0 for Osasuna. Sevilla also take more shots, averaging 12.0 per game to Osasuna’s 10.8. Shot accuracy is close, at 38.3% for Sevilla and 37.0% for Osasuna. On the other hand, Osasuna see more of the ball, averaging 44.4% possession compared with Sevilla’s 40.3%.

Osasuna also win more corners, with 3.6 per game against Sevilla’s 3.0. In addition, the visitors foul more, committing 15.4 fouls per game to Sevilla’s 13.0. Discipline follows the same pattern, with 2.8 yellow cards per game for Osasuna and 2.4 for Sevilla. For punters, those 15.4 and 13.0 foul averages make this Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction look like a game with plenty of stoppages.

Key players

Sevilla share the goals around in their last five league games. Felix Correia, Robbie Ure and Youssouf Fofana each have 1 goal and 1 assist. Isaac Romero and Juan Iglesias have also scored 1 goal each. None of those Sevilla goals came from the penalty spot.

Osasuna, meanwhile, lean on Ante Budimir, who has 3 goals in their last five league games. One of those came from the penalty spot. Asier Osambela and Raúl García have 1 goal each, while Alejandro Catena and Rubén García have 1 assist apiece. So Sevilla must track Budimir closely, because no other Osasuna player has more than 1 goal in that run.

Probable line-ups

These probable line-ups are not confirmed team news. Instead, they are the starting XIs from each side’s last league game. For Sevilla, that means the XI that started their 4-1 defeat away at Real Madrid on 18 October 2026. They used a 4-2-3-1, with Odisseas Vlachodimos in goal and Enrique Salas and Gabriel Suazo in defence. Felix Correia, Peque and Rubén Vargas supported Robbie Ure in attack.

Osasuna’s probable XI is the one that started their 2-0 win at home to Racing Santander on 18 October 2026. They lined up in a 4-3-3, with Aitor Fernández in goal. Alejandro Catena and Valentin Rosier started in defence, while Jon Moncayola featured in midfield. Up front, Ante Budimir led the line alongside Jonathan Dubasin and Rubén García.

Sevilla vs Osasuna head-to-head

Our records show 4 league meetings between Sevilla and Osasuna since July 2024. Osasuna have 2 wins, Sevilla have 1, and 1 ended in a draw. Most recently, Osasuna won 2-1 at home to Sevilla on 26 April 2026. Before that, Sevilla won 1-0 at home to Osasuna on 8 November 2025. Osasuna also won 1-0 at home to Sevilla on 24 April 2025, while Sevilla drew 1-1 at home to Osasuna on 2 December 2024. So these games have been tight, with scorelines of 2-1, 1-0, 1-0 and 1-1.

Match centre: Sevilla vs Osasuna on ESPN.

League table context

Sevilla sit sixth in the 20-team LaLiga 2026/27 table with 14 points from 9 games. Their record shows 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with a goal difference of -2. Osasuna, by contrast, are 12th on 11 points from 9 games. They have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, and their goal difference stands at -8. For context, Barcelona lead the table with 27 points from 9 wins and a +30 goal difference.

Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction

Our model makes Sevilla slight favourites, giving them a 40.7% chance of winning. It puts the draw at 25.9% and Osasuna at 33.3%. However, the market is much keener on the hosts, with odds of 1.91 implying 49.7% once the margin comes out. Osasuna, at 4.22, carry an implied 22.4%, while the draw at 3.4 sits at 27.9%. Expected goals of 1.41 for Sevilla and 1.25 for Osasuna also point to a close game.

On the Asian handicap, Sevilla -0.5 means a Sevilla win. Our model gives it 40.7%, while the odds of 1.91 imply 49.9%. Osasuna +0.5 means an Osasuna win or draw, which we rate at 59.3% against an implied 50.1% at 1.9. Turning to total goals, Over 2.5 means 3 or more goals in the match. Our model says 49.6%, and odds of 2.15 imply 43.9%. Under 2.5 means 2 goals or fewer, at 50.4% for us and 56.1% implied at 1.68.

So our Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction is Osasuna +0.5 on the Asian handicap at odds of 1.9. In plain words, the bet wins if Osasuna win or draw. Our model rates that at 59.3%, well above the market’s implied 50.1%. If it lands, the most likely score is 1-1, which our model rates at 12.3% overall. This is our only model pick for Sevilla and Osasuna, with medium confidence.

Remember that every Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction is a forecast, not a certainty. Football can turn on a single moment, so stake only what you can afford to lose and bet responsibly.

Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction FAQ

Odds quoted were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.

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